The most speaks for a italian win in this match, its on homecourt and its on clay. Witen is a hardcourter but still he took an easy win yesterday and he got a heavy serve that can be a problem for any player. Lorenzi has one of the worst form, he has a weak serve and he doesnt have any big weapons. Americans on clay use to be useless but this odds is to high, i still give witten 33% chance in this match.

Lorenzi out of self confidence and shape.