Garcia Lopez has three good wins here in Indian Wells, first vs Lacko then a big suprise vs Cilic, and after that he beated Bellucci. Monaco took a great win vs Ferrero who was in damn good shape. But still Monaco is too big favourite here, he still isnt a fantastic hardcourter and i rate Garcia as the better hardcourter. None of the players has huge serve so it will be some breaks here, Monaco has 2-1 h2h but i feel Garcia at least have 40% here so odds 2,80 is much to high.