Ferrer is massive favourite here, he is in hysterical good shape and doesnt miss anything at all. But Bellucci should have around 20% here, he has weapons to threat Ferrer, he has a massive forehand and a good serve. When is Ferrer dip coming? Havent seen him this good in long time and Bellucci on clay is a player that can beat Ferrer. Ferrer won quite easy their last meeting but 5,30 is way to high in my eyes.